This is a reboot of my old live blog series for my hypothetical world, Olaris.
We have a very unusual subtropical depression happening right now that's very high in latitude. This is not that common in Olaris for a system to form like this at about 57N latitude. Wind shear is moderately high, however this system is taking advantage of very high instability in the atmosphere caused by the tropical air mass down to the south colliding with the polar air to the north of this system coupled with sea surface temperatures of a barely sustainable 15°C (59°F). The HTMC predicts 01N to peak at about 30 kt/35 mph before becoming fully embedded in the polar air mass and becoming a weak polar depression in the next 48 hours. In the meantime this subtropical depression is expected to grow in size a little encompassing a lot of the little Arcadian Sea it is in.
Forecast: 012H - 25 kt/30 mph...(Subtropical) 024H - 25 kt/30 mph...(Subtropical) 036H - 30 kt/35 mph...(Subtropical) 048H - 30 kt/35 mph...(Polar Depression) 060H - 30 kt/35 mph...(Polar Depression)
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The forecast cone for 01N.