Hypothetical Hurricanes Wiki

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Hypothetical Hurricanes Wiki
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The 2013 Atlantic hurricane season is an event in the annual cycle of tropical cyclone formation. The season started on June 1 and will end on November 30; these dates conventionally delimit the period of each year when most tropical cyclones form in the Atlantic basin. However, the formation of tropical cyclones is possible at any time.


Note: To anyone who edits this (as stated in the title), you can edit/contribute to this season if you'd like to.

But don't-

1. Change the list of names as it's as it was when it was used during this year/season.

2. change the seasonal forecast. (I know it's probably not the same as it really was but it IS only hypothetical and it IS to give an idea of how active it could be)

3. If you want to use an Excessive Rating (6+)- just stay under a 220 mph (350 km/h) and 855 mbar Category-6. (especially since storms would be able to get any stronger than this till 2020-2030)

4. Change any storms that were already added or (And i know some of you do this) create a Depression that has a Storm Name (From the List) and say it was Originally a Storm before being downgraded later on..


Seasonal forecasts[]

Source Date Named

storms

Hurricanes Major

hurricanes

NOAA May 31, 2013 17 10 3
–––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
Actual activity 13 8 2


In Reality: This season originally saw 13 storms and only 2 hurricanes.


Storms[]

Storms
TS Andrea
C1 Barry
TS Chantal
TS Dorian
C1 Erin
TD Six
C2 Fernand
SS Gabrielle
C3 Humberto
C2 Ingrid
C1 Jerry
C5 Karen
TS Lorenzo
TD Fourteen
C1 Melissa


Tropical Storm Andrea[]

Tropical storm (SSHWS)
Tropical Storm Arlene jun 30 2011 1945Z Tropical Storm Andrea (2013) 2
DurationJune 18 – June 24
Peak intensity65 mph (100 km/h) (1-min) 998 mbar (hPa)

On June 17, a tropical wave was noted for development just west of the Leeward Islands and was given a 70% chance for development over the next 5 days. On June 18 it developed enough convection and a well defined low level circulation to be designated Tropical Depression "One", it strengthened into a tropical storm late on June 18 and was given the name "Andrea". Andrea at first was a weak and disorganized tropical storm, it made landfall in the Yucatan Peninsula as a 45 mph tropical storm on June 21, it weakened into a depression while over the Yucatan, however it reemerged into the Bay of Campeche and start rapidly intensifying into its peak strength of 65 mph, It then made landfall in the Mainland of Mexico at peak strength on June 22, it rapidly weakened and dissipated early the next day on June 23.


Hurricane Barry[]

Category 1 hurricane (SSHWS)
Hurricane Michael (2000) Hurricane Barry (2013)
DurationJune 30 – July 5
Peak intensity80 mph (130 km/h) (1-min) 981 mbar (hPa)

A tropical wave moved into the Central Atlantic 1000 miles east of the Leeward Islands and was noted and was given a 80% chance of development over the next 5 days on June 29. On June 30 while 600 miles from the Leeward Islands it became Tropical Depression "Two" and 6 hours later became Tropical Storm "Barry". Barry didn't strengthen significantly until it was south of Bermuda on July 3 it then started rapidly intensifying from a 50 mph Tropical Storm to a 80 mph Hurricane and hit Bermuda at that strength it then approached Newfoundland on July 4 as it was starting to become extratropical, it became extratropical on July 5 just 4 hours after it made landfall in Newfoundland.


Tropical Storm Chantal[]

Tropical storm (SSHWS)
220px-TSBeryl1994LandfallRadar
DurationJuly 12 – July 17
Peak intensity50 mph (85 km/h) (1-min) 1000 mbar (hPa)

A tropical disturbance was noted in the far eastern Caribbean Sea on July 11, it was initially given a 40% chance of development after a increase in convection over the developing low level center. However on July 12 it gained enough convection and winds to immediately become Tropical Storm "Chantal", it slowly moved through the Caribbean slowly picking up a little intensity along the way it eventually made it to the Gulf of Mexico on July 15. It almost stalled in the Gulf of Mexico which weakened Chantal a little due to upwelling of cooler Sea Surface Temperatures, it then started moving on July 16 and made landfall in the Gulf Coast as a minimal 40 mph tropical storm, it quickly weakened and dissipated by early the next day while over Tennessee.


Tropical Storm Dorian[]

Tropical storm (SSHWS)
Joyce 2012
DurationJuly 18 – July 21
Peak intensity45 mph (75 km/h) (1-min) 998 mbar (hPa)

A tropical wave moved off the coast of Africa on July 18 and developed into Tropical Depression "Four" while still very close to Africa, it intensified further into a tropical storm and was named "Dorian", It strengthened only sightly to 45 mph before starting to succumb to dry air entrainment and increasing wind shear, by July 20 it weakened into a tropical depression as most of its convection dissipated. On July 21 it weakened into further into a remnant low which dissipated later that day.


Hurricane Erin[]

Category 1 hurricane (SSHWS)
Danny aug 15 1985 1409Z
DurationAugust 1 – August 6
Peak intensity85 mph (140 km/h) (1-min) 979 mbar (hPa)

Erin formed in the Caribbean on August 1 directly as a tropical storm. Over the next few days it entered the Gulf of Mexico, it rapidly intensified into a hurricane. On August 5 it made landfall in the Gulf Coast, it rapidly weakened and dissipated the next day.


Tropical Depression Six[]

Tropical depression (SSHWS)
Subtropical Invest
DurationAugust 4 – August 7
Peak intensity35 mph (55 km/h) (1-min) 1002 mbar (hPa)

A tropical wave formed off the coast of Africa on August 3, by August 4 it gained enough convection and enough of a low level circulation to be designated Tropical Depression "Six". The environment was unfavorable for further strengthening. By August 6 it ran into increasing wind shear and it started weakening as it convection was being blown off, by August 7 it degenerated into a remnant low which dissipated the same day.

Hurricane Fernand[]

Category 2 hurricane (SSHWS)
Humberto 2013
DurationAugust 14 – August 23
Peak intensity105 mph (165 km/h) (1-min) 961 mbar (hPa)


Subtropical Storm Gabrielle[]

Subtropical storm (SSHWS)
Subtropical Storm 15a (2000)
DurationAugust 20 – August 24
Peak intensity50 mph (85 km/h) (1-min) 996 mbar (hPa)


Hurricane Humberto[]

Category 3 hurricane (SSHWS)
Gordon Aug 18 2012 1550Z
DurationAugust 25 – September 2
Peak intensity115 mph (185 km/h) (1-min) 960 mbar (hPa)


Hurricane Ingrid[]

Category 2 hurricane (SSHWS)
Hurricane Richard 2010-10-24 1645Z
DurationAugust 31 – September 6
Peak intensity100 mph (155 km/h) (1-min) 967 mbar (hPa)


Hurricane Jerry[]

Category 1 hurricane (SSHWS)
Hurricane Ophelia (2005) - Cropped - 3
DurationSeptember 6 – September 12
Peak intensity90 mph (150 km/h) (1-min) 973 mbar (hPa)


Hurricane Karen[]

Category 5 hurricane (SSHWS)
Georges 2
DurationSeptember 10 – September 30
Peak intensity180 mph (285 km/h) (1-min) 900 mbar (hPa)


Tropical Storm Lorenzo[]

Tropical storm (SSHWS)
Hurricane Cindy 2005-07-05
DurationSeptember 14 – September 19
Peak intensity65 mph (100 km/h) (1-min) 986 mbar (hPa)


Tropical Depression Fourteen[]

Tropical depression (SSHWS)
Fran 13 August 1990
DurationSeptember 18 – September 20
Peak intensity35 mph (55 km/h) (1-min) 1004 mbar (hPa)


Hurricane Melissa[]

Category 1 hurricane (SSHWS)
111.1455.rgb143
DurationSeptember 21 – September 26
Peak intensity75 mph (120 km/h) (1-min) 987 mbar (hPa)

Timeline[]

wikipedia:Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale









Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) Rating[]

ACE (104 kt2) – Storm: Source
1 0.00 Storm 14 0.00 Storm
2 0.00 Storm 15 0.00 Storm
3 0.00 Storm 16 0.00 Storm
4 0.00 Storm 17 0.00 Storm
5 0.00 Storm 18 0.00 Storm
6 0.00 Storm 19 0.00 Storm
7 0.00 Storm 20 0.00 Storm
8 0.00 Storm 21 0.00 Storm
9 0.00 Storm 22 0.00 Storm
10 0.00 Storm 23 0.00 Storm
11 0.00 Storm 24 0.00 Storm
12 0.00 Storm 25 0.00 Storm
13 0.00 Storm 26 0.00 Storm
Total=0.00

ACE is the result of a storm's winds multiplied by how long it lasted for, so storms or subtropical storms (Originally not included up until 2012) that at lasted a long time , as well as particularly strong hurricanes , have higher ACE totals. Tropical Depressions are not included in season totals.

Storm names[]

The following names will be used to name tropical and subtropical cyclones in the 2013 season.

  • Andrea
  • Barry
  • Chantal
  • Dorian
  • Erin
  • Fernand
  • Gabrielle
  • Humberto
  • Ingrid
  • Jerry
  • Karen
  • Lorenzo
  • Melissa
  • Nestor (unused)
  • Olga (unused)
  • Pablo (unused)
  • Rebekah (unused)
  • Sebastian (unused)
  • Tanya (unused)
  • Van (unused)
  • Wendy (unused)

Season effects[]

This is a table of the storms and their effects in the 2013 Atlantic hurricane season. This table includes the storm's names, duration, peak intensity, Areas affected (bold indicates made landfall in that region at least once), damages, and death totals. Deaths in parentheses are additional and indirect (an example of an indirect death would be a traffic accident), but are still storm-related. Damage and deaths include totals while the storm was extratropical, a wave or a low. All of the damage figures are in 2013 USD (the listed damage figure is in millions).

2013 North Atlantic tropical cyclone season statistics
Storm
name
Dates active Storm category
at peak intensity
Max 1-min
wind
mph (km/h)
Min.
press.
(mbar)
Areas affected Damage
(USD)
Deaths
Andrea June 18 – June 23 Tropical storm 65 (100) 998 Mexico, Yucatan Pen 12 0
Barry June 30 – July 5 Category 1 hurricane 80 (130) 981 NewFoundLand 18 4
Chantal July 12 – July 17 Tropical storm 50 (85) 1000 US Gulf Coast (Florida), Cuba 10 3
Dorian July 18 – July 21 Tropical storm 45 (75) 998 None 0 0
Erin August 1 – August 6 Category 1 hurricane 85 (140) 979 US Gulf Coast (Lousiana) 250 15
Six August 4 – August 7 Tropical depression 35 (55) 1002 Canary Islands Minor 0
Fernand August 14 – August 23 Category 2 hurricane 105 (165) 961 Cape Verde Islands Minor 0
Gabrielle August 20 – August 24 Subtropical storm 50 (85) 996 Nova Scotia 5 3
Humberto August 25 – September 2 Category 3 hurricane 115 (185) 960 Cape Verde Islands Minor 0
Ingrid August 31 – September 6 Category 2 hurricane 100 (155) 967 Mexico (Veracruz), Yucatan Pen 390 25
Jerry September 6 – September 12 Category 1 hurricane 90 (150) 973 Nova Scotia, US East Coast (North Carolina), The Bahamas 65 10
Karen September 10 – September 30 Category 5 hurricane 180 (285) 900 NewFoundLand, Nova Scotia, US East Coast (South Carolina), The Bahamas, Hispaniolia, Puerto Rico, Lesser Antilles, Cape Verde Island 10,500 140
Lorenzo September 14 – September 19 Tropical storm 65 (100) 986 US Gulf Coast (Mississippi), Yucatan Pen 50 9
Fourteen September 18 – September 20 Tropical depression 35 (55) 1004 Lesser Antilles Minor 0
Melissa September 21 – September 26 Category 1 hurricane 75 (120) 987 None 0 0
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