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The 2046-47 Southwest Indian Ocean cyclone season was a slightly below average season. During the season, eight tropical storms formed, four intensified further into tropical cyclones, and two of those went further and became intense tropical cyclones.Become then an active season.


Timeline[]

Wikipedia:Tropical cyclone scales#Comparisons across basins

Storms[]

Severe Tropical Storm Ava[]

Severe tropical storm (MFR)
Category 1 tropical cyclone (SSHWS)
01 1119Z 01 track
DurationNovember 27 – December 1
Peak intensity100 km/h (65 mph) (10-min) 982 hPa (mbar)

The unusual cyclone winds, estimated up to 100 km/h (65 mph), caused damages in Mozambique and South Africa (US$3.1 million).Heavy rains triggered flash floods in Madagascar and Mozambique.

Moderate Tropical Storm Berguitta[]

Intense tropical cyclone (MFR)
Category 4 tropical cyclone (SSHWS)
Hwrf-p satIR 11S fh6-126 013 track
DurationDecember 5 – December 12
Peak intensity185 km/h (115 mph) (10-min) 932 hPa (mbar)

Bergitta formed from a low on December 5.the storm began rounding a subtropical ridge to its east and brought heavy rain to Madagascar.it then began weakening as a result of increasing shear wind from a low pressure system to the southwest and became post-tropical early on December 12.

Tropical Cyclone Cebile[]

Tropical cyclone (MFR)
Category 1 tropical cyclone (SSHWS)
999 0926Z 9llil9 track
DurationDecember 21 – December 29
Peak intensity130 km/h (80 mph) (10-min) 984 hPa (mbar)

On December 21, Cebile entered the South-West Indian Ocean basin. Cebile retained its name after moving into the basin, becoming the third moderate tropical storm in the South-West Indian Ocean basin to be named by TCWC Jakarta in history.On December 29, The storm dissipated on Madagascar east.

Tropical Depression 04[]

Tropical depression (MFR)
Tropical depression (SSHWS)
0-31 Suomi NPP K
DurationJanuary 1 – January 2
Peak intensity55 km/h (35 mph) (10-min) 1005 hPa (mbar)

Very Intense Tropical Cyclone Dumazile[]

Very intense tropical cyclone (MFR)
Category 5 tropical cyclone (SSHWS)
Ino 215 1115Z Olikplop7 track
DurationJanuary 28 – February 9
Peak intensity260 km/h (160 mph) (10-min) 915 hPa (mbar)

The origins of Dumazile can be tracked back to a cluster of thunderstorms that organized into an area of low pressure in the Mozambique Channel on January 28. Over the next two days, the system gradually drifted in a generally southern track as it gained a lot of intensity,underwent a period of very rapid intensification over 30 degrees water.

Dineo struck south Mozambique on February 6 as a tropical cyclone, bringing torrential rain and damaging winds.Dumazile was the first category 5 tropical cyclone to hit Mozambique in history. At least 453 persons died,the storm remanents crossed thhe South African steps and dissipated over Namibia on February 9.

Moderate Tropical Storm Eilas[]

Very intense tropical cyclone (MFR)
Category 4 tropical cyclone (SSHWS)
Emeraude 2016-03-17 0755Z Lohji
DurationFebruary 7 – February 12
Peak intensity240 km/h (150 mph) (10-min) 925 hPa (mbar)

A zone of disturbed weather rapidly intensified into a Tropical Disturbance late on February 6. Due to favorable conditions and entering warm waters, it rapidly became Severe Tropical Storm Eilas early on February 8. Explosive intensification occurred, making Eilas an intense tropical cyclone the same day. As Eilas has reached its peak intensity, it then rapidly weakened to a tropical disturbance due to land interaction with Madagascar.During the next several days, Eilas's remnants moved southwestward, while continuing to weaken. On February 12, Eilas's remnants made landfall on Madagascar and dissipated shortly afterwards.

Tropical Depression 07[]

Tropical depression (MFR)
Tropical depression (SSHWS)
02 0955Z 2 track
DurationMarch 17 – March 26
Peak intensity55 km/h (35 mph) (10-min) 998 hPa (mbar)

Severe Tropical Storm Guambe[]

Intense tropical cyclone (MFR)
Category 3 tropical cyclone (SSHWS)
800p-15 1130Z Uiyt8i18 track
DurationApril 13 – April 18
Peak intensity185 km/h (115 mph) (10-min) 958 hPa (mbar)

On April 12, an area of disturbed weather formed near Mozambique. The system steadily strengthened into a low pressure area shortly afterwards. With favorable conditions, ample convection was able to wrap around the low level circulation center, which allowed the system to strengthen into a tropical depression, .On April 26, RSMC La Reunion upgraded the system to Moderate Tropical Storm Guambe as it continued to intensify. However, Guambe made landfall on Northern Mozambique,a few hours later and weakened into an overland depression outed land as a remnant and crossed Madagascar. On April 27, Guambe emerged off the northwestern coast of Madagascar. Within the next several hours,Guambe was able to strengthen slightly, as the storm moved very close along the coast of Madagascar. As Guambe continued to organize, the storm gradually began to strengthen, as it turned southward, along the western coast of Madagascar.but it made landfall on April 18 and dissipated later than day.

Tropical Cyclone Hamas[]

Tropical cyclone (MFR)
Category 2 tropical cyclone (SSHWS)
3-30 0721Z Oh014 track
DurationApril 16 – April 21
Peak intensity140 km/h (85 mph) (10-min) 970 hPa (mbar)

An area of disturbed weather formed north of Mozambique and was designated as Tropical Disturbance 08R on April 16. On the next day it was upgraded to "Moderate Tropical Storm Hamas" by the Sub-Regional Tropical Cyclone Advisory Centre in Madagascar. It remained nearly stationary and by April 18 it was upgraded to a severe tropical storm. The storm made landfall over northwestern Madagascar as a severe tropical storm on late April 18.Travelled to the south as a remnant and dissipated over southern Mozambique on late April 21

Strong winds from the storm damaged numerous mobile homes, shrubbery, and trees.At least 500 people were killed and 100 million of damages.

Season Effects[]

2046-47 Indian tropical cyclone season statistics
Storm
name
Dates active Storm category
at peak intensity
Max 1-min
wind
mph (km/h)
Min.
press.
(mbar)
Areas affected Damage
(USD)
Deaths
Ava November 27 – December 1 Category 1 hurricane 60 982 Mozambique

South Africa

none none
Berguitta December 5 – December 12 Category 4 hurricane 120 932 Madagascar 24 million 58
Cebile December 21 – December 29 Category 1 hurricane 75 984 none none none
04 January 1 – January 2 Tropical depression 30 1005 none none none
Dumazille January 28 – February 9 Category 5 hurricane 160 915 Mozambique,

Malawi, Botswana, Namibia

Unknow 453
Eilas February 7 – February 12 Category 4 hurricane 130 925 Madagascar,

Mozambique

Unknow Unknow
07 March 17 – March 26 Tropical depression 30 998 none none none
Guambe April 13 – April 18 Category 3 hurricane 105 958 Madagascar,

Malawi, Mozambique

300 million Unknow
Hamase April 16 – April 21 Category 2 hurricane 90 970 Madagascar,

Mozambique, Malawi

100 million almost 500
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