Hypothetical Hurricanes Wiki

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Hypothetical Hurricanes Wiki

The 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season was the most active atlantic season since 2012. The season was influenced by a la nina and had 16 storms, 8 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes. However, this was the first season since 2014 to not feature a storm before the season officially began, on June 1. Tropical activity began on June 15, with Tropical Depression One, and ended on November 20, when Hurricane Pablo exited the Atlantic basin.

The season had many significant storms. In July, Hurricane Andrea caused moderate damage in Mexico as a category 1 hurricane. In August, Hurricane Dorian caused damage in the Dominican Republic, and Hurricane Gabrielle caused some damage in the Carolinas. In September, Hurricane Humberto became the season's strongest storm, and caused serious damage in New England. In October, Hurricane Melissa wreaked havoc across the Caribbean, and eventually the United States, as a category 4 storm. In November, Hurricane Pablo's remnants entered the East Pacific and re-developed into Tropical Storm Mario.

Timeline[]

Saffir–Simpson hurricane wind scale

Storms[]

Tropical Depression One[]

Tropical depression (SSHWS)
TS Dean (2001) One 2019 Realistic
DurationJune 15 – June 17
Peak intensity35 mph (55 km/h) (1-min) 1006 mbar (hPa)

An early season tropical wave emerged off the coast of Africa. No development occurred until June 14, when convective bursts began to occur. Based on satellite imagery and ASCAT, the system was upgraded to Tropical Depression One on June 15. Initially forecast to become a weak tropical storm, moderate wind shear caused the center to become exposed. The system eventually made landfall in the Dominican Republic on June 17, and dissipated over the island that day. Landslides from the storm killed 5 people.

Hurricane Andrea[]

Category 1 hurricane (SSHWS)
Ernesto Aug 7 2012 1920Z Andrea 2019 Realistic
DurationJuly 4 – July 9
Peak intensity80 mph (130 km/h) (1-min) 982 mbar (hPa)

A tropical wave moved off the coast of Africa in late June. The system moved across the tropical Atlantic fairly quickly, and developed gale force winds. It entered the Caribbean on July 2, and began to develop under favorable conditions. Tropical Storm Andrea was declared on July 4, after a closed circulation was confirmed by recon. Andrea gradually intensified as it moved west, and became a hurricane on July 6. It peaked with 80 mph winds and made landfall in Quinta Roo, Mexico that day. The storm weakened over land, but re-intensified over the Bay of Campeche, almost becoming a hurricane again. However, the storm made landfall before that could happen, and Andrea dissipated on July 9.

Tropical Storm Barry[]

Tropical storm (SSHWS)
TS Ernesto 31 aug 2006 aqua Barry 2019 Realistic
DurationJuly 11 – July 13
Peak intensity45 mph (75 km/h) (1-min) 1005 mbar (hPa)

A low pressure area broke off from a decaying cold front, and became tropical depression three on July 11. Moving northward through the Bahamas, it intensified into Tropical Storm Barry early the next day. The storm moved toward the Carolinas, and despite developing organized banding, peaked with 45 mph winds. The storm made landfall in North Carolina at peak intensity, and moved inland, dissipating over Virginia on July 13. Barry only caused heavy rainfall and moderate winds.

Tropical Storm Chantal[]

Tropical storm (SSHWS)
Arlene 06-13-1999 1215Z Chantal 2019 Realistic
DurationAugust 3 – August 7
Peak intensity60 mph (95 km/h) (1-min) 995 mbar (hPa)

A tropical wave exited the coast of Africa, and developed into Tropical Depression Four. Twelve hours later, it intensified into Tropical Storm Chantal on August 4. Chantal moved in a generally northwest direction, parallel to the greater Antilles. Chantal peaked on August 5, with winds of 60 mph. However, Chantal entered an area of increasing vertical wind shear, and began to weaken. Chantal turned north and eventually began to become extratropical, completing this transition on August 7. Chantal brought high tides to the United States, Bahamas, and to Bermuda, but impacts were light.

Hurricane Dorian[]

Category 3 hurricane (SSHWS)
Ophelia250m Oct 1 2011 17.40(UTC) Dorian 2019 Realistic
DurationAugust 9 – August 16
Peak intensity125 mph (205 km/h) (1-min) 951 mbar (hPa)

Interactions between an area of low pressure and a tropical wave spawned Tropical Depression Five on August 7. It quickly intensified into Dorian. This storm proved hard to forecast, as models took it all over the place. Dorian passed through the lesser antilles, and entered the Caribbean. Dorian developed an eye, and became a hurricane on August 12. It intensified to winds of 90 mph and struck the Dominican Republic, and entered the open Atlantic. Situated in a more favorable environment, Dorian began to intensify, despite the storm's altitude. The storm passed near Bermuda as a category 2 storm, before becoming the first major hurricane of the season on August 14. It peaked that day, with 125 mph winds. It began to quickly weaken as conditions deteriorated, but Dorian managed to make landfall in Newfoundland during the morning hours of August 16, as a category 1 hurricane. Dorian weakened in the Bay of St. Lawrence, and quickly became extratropical. Dorian's remnants caused some disruption in Canada.

Tropical Depression Six[]

Tropical depression (SSHWS)
Sixteen 14 oct 2008 Six 2019 Realistic
DurationAugust 11 – August 12
Peak intensity30 mph (45 km/h) (1-min) 1010 mbar (hPa)

A broad low pressure area in the Caribbean began to show signs of tropical development in August. It developed into Tropical Depression Six on August 11. Despite models forecasting a hurricane near Florida out of the system in a few days, the system's proximity to Honduras prevented any strengthening. The storm made landfall in Honduras on August 12, and dissipated inland that day. The remnants would later contribute to Tropical Storm Flossie.

Tropical Storm Erin[]

Tropical storm (SSHWS)
09L 2015-09-16 1350Z Erin 2019 Realistic
DurationAugust 15 – August 20
Peak intensity60 mph (95 km/h) (1-min) 1001 mbar (hPa)

A tropical wave moved off the coast of Africa, without much development for a few days. It became a Tropical Depression on August 15, and it intensified into Erin shortly after. Erin moved northwest, in an area of light to moderate wind shear. Erin briefly developed a low-level eye structure as it peaked with winds of 60 mph. Shortly after peak, dry air got into the system, and Erin began to weaken. Erin persisted until August 20, during which it dissipated back into a tropical wave. Erin had no impacts on land.

Tropical Storm Fernand[]

Tropical storm (SSHWS)
Elena 01 sep 1979 1404Z N6 Fernand 2019 Realistic
DurationAugust 23 – August 25
Peak intensity45 mph (75 km/h) (1-min) 1008 mbar (hPa)

A decaying front left an area of convection in the Gulf of Mexico on August 22. The next day, unforecasted by any models, the system rapidly organized into a Tropical Depression. Initially not expected to intensity due to proximity to land, it intensified into Tropical Storm Fernand on August 24. Fernand moved slowly off the coast of Texas, caused severe coastal flooding, up until the storm's landfall the next morning, at peak intensity with 45 mph winds. Fernand managed to remain tropical until that night. The storm, despite being fairly small and weak, caused $500 million in damage due to flooding.

Hurricane Gabrielle[]

Category 1 hurricane (SSHWS)
Hurricane Jeanne (1998) Gabrielle 2019 Realistic
DurationAugust 26 – September 2
Peak intensity85 mph (140 km/h) (1-min) 976 mbar (hPa)

In mid August, a tropical wave moved off the coast of Africa. It moved through the Atlantic with not much development, until August 26, when it became a Tropical Depression, north of the Lesser Antilles. It intensified into Tropical Storm Gabrielle the next day, and gradually intensified in marginal conditions. Gabrielle became a hurricane on August 30, and quickly reached peak winds of 85 mph. On August 31, the storm made landfall in Jacksonville, North Carolina, with 80 mph winds. The storm remained a hurricane inland due to interactions with the outer banks, but weakened below hurricane status shortly after re-emerging into the Atlantic. Gabrielle accelerated east, and became extratropical on September 2.

Hurricane Humberto[]

Category 4 hurricane (SSHWS)
Hurricane-hugo-pic Humberto 2019 Realistic
DurationSeptember 2 – September 15
Peak intensity150 mph (240 km/h) (1-min) 931 mbar (hPa)

Tropical Storm Imelda[]

Tropical storm (SSHWS)
Tropical Storm Hermine 19 sept 1998 2041Z Imelda 2019 Realistic
DurationSeptember 4 – September 9
Peak intensity60 mph (95 km/h) (1-min) 999 mbar (hPa)

Hurricane Jerry[]

Category 2 hurricane (SSHWS)
Charley 24 sept 1992 1745Z Jerry 2019 Realistic
DurationSeptember 12 – September 18
Peak intensity110 mph (175 km/h) (1-min) 971 mbar (hPa)

Tropical Storm Karen[]

Tropical storm (SSHWS)
Tropical Depression Seven 30 sept 1992 1044Z Karen 2019 Realistic
DurationSeptember 18 – September 21
Peak intensity40 mph (65 km/h) (1-min) 1006 mbar (hPa)

Tropical Storm Lorenzo[]

Tropical storm (SSHWS)
Tropical Storm Six 08 sept 1988 1704Z Lorenzo 2019 Realistic
DurationSeptember 21 – September 23
Peak intensity50 mph (85 km/h) (1-min) 1003 mbar (hPa)

Hurricane Melissa[]

Category 4 hurricane (SSHWS)
Wilma approaching Florida Melissa 2019 Realistic
DurationSeptember 30 – October 6
Peak intensity145 mph (230 km/h) (1-min) 937 mbar (hPa)

Hurricane Nestor[]

Category 1 hurricane (SSHWS)
Josephine 5 October 1990 Nestor 2019 Realistic
DurationOctober 10 – October 15
Peak intensity80 mph (130 km/h) (1-min) 967 mbar (hPa)

Subtropical Storm Olga[]

Subtropical storm (SSHWS)
Arlene 2017-04-20 1512Z Olga 2019 Realistic
DurationOctober 29 – October 31
Peak intensity50 mph (85 km/h) (1-min) 1005 mbar (hPa)

Hurricane Pablo[]

Category 1 hurricane (SSHWS)
Pablo 2019 Pablo-Mario 2019 Realistic
DurationNovember 16 – November 20 (exited basin)
Peak intensity85 mph (140 km/h) (1-min) 980 mbar (hPa)

Season Effects[]

2019 Atlantic tropical cyclone season statistics
Storm
name
Dates active Storm category
at peak intensity
Max 1-min
wind
mph (km/h)
Min.
press.
(mbar)
Areas affected Damage
(USD)
Deaths
One June 15 - June 17 Tropical depression 35 1006 Lesser Antilles, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, Haiti Minimal 5
Andrea July 4 - July 9 Category 1 hurricane 80 982 Lesser Antilles, Mexico 107 11
Barry July 11 - July 13 Tropical storm 80 982 Bahamas, United States 24.7 2
Chantal August 3 - August 7 Tropical storm 60 995 Bahamas, United States, Bermuda Minimal None
Season aggregates
18 systems   150 931

Storm Names[]

This list of names was used to name storms that formed in 2019. Names not retired from this list will be used again in the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season. This is the same list used in the 2013 season, except for Imelda, which replaced Ingrid. The names Imelda and Nestor were used for the first time this year.

  • Andrea
  • Barry
  • Chantal
  • Dorian
  • Erin
  • Fernand
  • Gabrielle
  • Humberto
  • Imelda
  • Jerry
  • Karen
  • Lorenzo
  • Melissa
  • Nestor
  • Olga
  • Pablo
  • Rebekah (unused)
  • Sebastien (unused)
  • Tanya (unused)
  • Van (unused)
  • Wendy (unused)

Retirement[]

In the spring of 2020, the WMO determined that the names Humberto, Melissa, and Pablo were worthy of retirement, and they will never be used for another Atlantic hurricane. The names Hubert, Monica, and Pierre will replace them in 2025.

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