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Disclaimer: This is just a hypothetical live season which exclusive at Philippine Area of Responsibility, the place where local weather center tracks typhoons. not related to ongoing real Pacific typhoon season

2018 Philippine basin typhoon season
PHBasin2018V3.0
Season summary map
Seasonal boundaries
First system formed May 18
Last system dissipated Season ongoing
Strongest storm
Name Kurt
 • Maximum winds 215 km/h (130 mph)
 • Lowest pressure 917 hPa (mbar)
Seasonal statistics
Total depressions 15
Total storms 14
Typhoons 7
Super typhoons 3
Total fatalities TBA
Total damage Unknown
Pacific typhoon seasons

The 2018 Philippine basin typhoon season is a live season which takes place in the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), which is part of Western Pacific basin. This time, local Filipino names are assigned in use for the typhoons that will enter the area. It does not track areas outside of the PAR. The season will officially start at May 15, and will last through the end of the year.

Seasonal Forecasts

Predictions for the 2018 Philippine basin typhoon season
Source Date Named
storms
Typhoons Super
typhoons
FRMC May 10, 2018 20 15 4
BNMA May 10, 2018 20-30 14-19 7-10
DHC May 10, 2018 11 1-5 1
BMA May 10, 2018 20 13 5
LHC May 20, 2018 18-21 9-11 3-5
PEHC May 29, 2018 20-24 10-14 4-6
OSMC May 29, 2018 20-17 8-6 1-4
LHC June 12, 2018 19-22 9-11 1-4
MWHA July 19, 2018 23-26 17-20 6-10
LHC July 23, 2018 23-27 10-15 3-7
Actual activity
13 7 3

Seasonal Summary

Outlook

FARM RIVER METEOROLOGICAL CENTER
PHILIPPINE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
August 12, 2018
7:00 PM PHT

There are currently no active storms in the basin.

~FORECASTER FARM
The Lucarius Hurricane Center (LHC) has also issued the c as a weather model to showcase the model forecast for the active disturbances.Gary K Weather Center (GKWC) has also issued his own Wind Probability Models

Forecasters

Main Forecasters

Occasional Forecasters

Current Advisories

All advisories issued are found here: 2018 Philippine basin typhoon season/advisory archive

NHCTSSymbol Severe Tropical Storm NINA (JASMINE)

...NINA CLOSE ON ATTAINING TYPHOON STATUS...

7:00am PHT, August 14
Public Advisory

Location: Pacific Ocean

Moving: NNW at 18 kph

Min pressure: 984 mbar

Max sustained: 110 kph (10-min), 100 kph (1-min)

NHCTDSymbol Tropical Depression 16F (KOKOY)

...14F SLOWED DOWN...

7:00am PHT, August 14
Public Advisory

Location: East of Luzon

Moving: NE at 4 kph

Min pressure: 1005 mbar

Max sustained: 55 kph (10-min), 55 kph (1-min)


Model Intensity Guidance

Severe Tropical Storm Nina (Jasmine)

Model intensity guidance aug10

Tropical Depression 14F (Kokoy)

14F.1

Systems

Super Typhoon Albert (Adarna)

Super typhoon (PAGASA)
Category 5 super typhoon (SSHWS)
Albert May 29 Albert2018New
Duration May 18 – June 1
Peak intensity 205 km/h (115 mph) (10-min)
923 mbar (hPa)

A disturbance developed into a tropical depression on May 18 while located to the southeast of Zamboanga. It gradually intensified and reached tropical storm status on the night of May 19 and named Albert by FRMC, and Adarna by PAGASA. It gradually intensified and became a strong typhoon, after entering the northwestern part of the South China Sea. On May 27, 16:00 HKT, Albert strengthened to a super typhoon, around 100 km south of Hong Kong. Recon data found winds of 205 km/h and pressure of 923 mbar. At 1:00 HKT, the next day the eye was approximately 20 km southwest of Hong Kong with the typhoon heading onto the mainland in a northerly direction. It transitioned to a post-tropical cyclone afterwards. Hong Kong Observatory issued Hurricane Signal No. 10 due to the storm. It only caused few deaths in the main city, but the others were from other towns and Macao. The storm caused an estimated damage of $12 billion, making one of the most damaging typhoon in the basin. It also caused 295 deaths. In Philippines, many fishermen were stalled by the storm, but no deaths were reported. Rough waves were reported along coastline of Palawan.

Severe Tropical Storm Brianna (Bayani)

Severe tropical storm (PAGASA)
Tropical storm (SSHWS)
Brianna June 13 2018 Brianna2018New
Duration May 28 – June 14
Peak intensity 95 km/h (65 mph) (10-min)
997 mbar (hPa)

An area of low pressure was spotted east of Mindanao. On May 28, PAGASA declared it as tropical depression, naming "Bayani". Two days after it's formation, FRMC also issued an advisory on it, making it a tropical depression. It stalled and weakened a bit due to wind shear, but on June 4, it strengthened to a tropical storm and named Brianna, off the coast of Mindanao. However, it is only brief, as it weakens again. On June 6, FRMC issued it's last advisory on it, but next day, it regenerated and advisories were resumed. When it entered the Sulu Sea, conditions were favorable for further development, as it became more organized. It strengthened to a severe tropical storm, and made landfall in Palawan. Wind shear weakened the storm, and it was downgraded to a remnant low by June 14.

Typhoon Cyrus (Cielo)

Typhoon (PAGASA)
Category 5 super typhoon (SSHWS)
Cyrus June 17 2018 Cyrus2018New
Duration June 10 – June 20
Peak intensity 175 km/h (115 mph) (10-min)
932 mbar (hPa)

Another disturbance was spotted east of Mindanao. Later it would strengthen and reached Tropical Storm status by June 11, prompting FRMC to give the name Cyrus, and Cielo by PAGASA. It gradually intensified, but it would able to intensify to a severe tropical storm and later a weak typhoon. Favorable conditions allowed the storm to further intensify, as it becoming more annular and deepening further. It reached super typhoon status south of Taiwan, prompting immediate evacuation. It further intensified to a Category 5, and reached it's peak intensity of 185 km/h and pressure of 928 mbar. However, it entered rapid cool waters and extremely high wind shear, allowing the storm to rapidly weaken and dissipate by June 20, never making any landfall except on islands of Batanes. Like Albert, the Hong Kong Observatory issued Gale Wind Signal No.8 due to the storm. It caused far less damage than Albert, but it still killed a lot and destroyed several homes, plus flash flooding in Hong Kong. It caused $728 million in damage and 43 deaths.

Super Typhoon Denise (Danilo)

Super typhoon (PAGASA)
Category 5 super typhoon (SSHWS)
Denise July 8 Denise2018New
Duration June 24 – July 16
Peak intensity 185 km/h (115 mph) (10-min)
932 mbar (hPa)

A disturbance formed well East of the Philippines. It organized before being classified as a Tropical Depression. However, it wasn't long before it was named Tropical Storm Denise. Denise began gradual intensification as she neared the Philippines. It went through fluctuation between Category 2 and 3 as Denise moved through the islands, still continuing to strengthen. Denise reached Category 4 status in the Sulu Sea, prompting a Signal No.4 watch in certain areas. It finally reached Category 5 Super Typhoon strength before making landfall in Palawan. It wasn't long before Denise started to weaken. Denise finally level out, sustaining Category 1 Typhoon level winds up until landfall. Denise started to rapidly dissipate after landfall. On July 16th, Denise was announced to have fully dissipated. Denise did over $250 million in damage and killed almost 200, mostly in Central Philippines (mostly Cebu and Bohol).

Tropical Storm Ernie

Tropical storm (FRMC)
Tropical depression (SSHWS)
Ernie June 29-2018 ErnieFarm2018
Duration June 27 – July 3
Peak intensity 75 km/h (45 mph) (10-min)
1007 mbar (hPa)

A disturbance was found near China. On June 27th was designated a Tropical Depression. Not long after, the storm strengthened sufficiently to receive the name Ernie. It would slowly move East before making landfall. The interaction with land weakened the storm back down to Tropical Depression status. The storm failed to restrengthen, moving West-Northwest at very high speeds over the next few days. Ernie brushed Southern Taiwan but overall effects were minimal. It dissipated well west of Taiwan on July 3rd.

Typhoon Francine

Typhoon (FRMC)
Category 4 super typhoon (SSHWS)
Francine July 17 FrancineFarm2018
Duration July 4 – July 23
Peak intensity 175 km/h (110 mph) (10-min)
937 mbar (hPa)

A low pressure area was spotted near Guam. Initial observations made the low stay at it's current state. However, on July 4, conditions began to increase favorability for development, and the system was named Francine. Francine stalled for a bit but it resumed it strengthening period where it become a typhoon. It began a period of rapid deepening, where Francine reached high-end Category 4 strength with 175 kph (10-min) winds, closing into super typhoon status. Francine maintained it's strength for hours before weakening again, mostly due to eyewall replacement cycle, and began to accelerate east. Francine turned extratropical around July 23, and was absorbed later on.

Tropical Storm Gerald (Erning)

Tropical storm (PAGASA)
Tropical storm (SSHWS)
Gerald GeraldFarm2018
Duration July 7 – July 14
Peak intensity 75 km/h (45 mph) (10-min)
1000 mbar (hPa)

On July 7th, a Tropical Depression formed near the Philippine Islands. The depression moved over the islands, sustaining winds as it headed North. The depression was named Gerald, North of the Philippines. Gerald strengthened marginally as it curved West toward China. It finally made landfall before dissipating on July 14th. Gerald dealt minimal damage and no lives were lost. It still enhanced the monsoon, causing minimal rains.

Typhoon Hope (Fernan)

Typhoon (PAGASA)
Category 3 typhoon (SSHWS)
Hope July 14 HopeFarm2018
Duration July 8 – July 26
Peak intensity 150 km/h (95 mph) (10-min)
966 mbar (hPa)

On July 8th a Tropical Depression formed a short distance East of the Philippine Islands. It quickly intensified into Tropical Storm Hope. Hope began to rapidly intensify, as it reached typhoon status. Hope finally peaked at Category 3 Typhoon status, having a bit disorganized structure. Despite this it weakened considerably down to a Category 2 Typhoon before making it's first landfall. It weakened down to a Tropical Storm as it emerged into the South China Sea, allowing it to restrengthen back to a Category 1 Typhoon. Hope made it's final landfall in Hainan, in China, as a typhoon, dissipating rapidly. Hope dealt 78 million in damages and killed 34.

Typhoon Irving (Gemma)

Typhoon (PAGASA)
Category 1 typhoon (SSHWS)
Irving July 22 2018 IrvingFarm2018
Duration July 15 – July 26
Peak intensity 120 km/h (75 mph) (10-min)
975 mbar (hPa)

A Tropical Depression formed well East of the Philippine Islands. It intensified at a moderate rate, becoming Tropical Storm Irving. Irving continued to steadily intensify over the next several days. Irving reached Category 1 Typhoon status before making landfall that same day. Irving weakened considerably down to a Tropical Depression. Irving despite re-converging into water dissipated on July 26th. Irving caused $22 million in damages and killed 3 people.

Severe Tropical Storm Janice (Hilario)

Severe tropical storm (PAGASA)
Tropical storm (SSHWS)
Janice July 18 2018 Janice2018
Duration July 16 – July 20
Peak intensity 95 km/h 60 mph) (10-min)
994 mbar (hPa)

A Tropical Depression spawned East of the Philippines before moving in a non-linear path Northward. It strengthened sufficiently to be named Janice, rapidly intensifying. Janice would peak as a Severe Tropical Storm before weakening due to cooler waters. It became Extratropical before hitting Japan. Overall damage was minimal and 6 deaths were recorded.

Super Typhoon Kurt

Super typhoon (FRMC)
Category 5 super typhoon (SSHWS)
Kurt July 27 2018 KurtFarm2018
Duration July 20 – August 3
Peak intensity 215 km/h (135 mph) (10-min)
917 mbar (hPa)
On July 20th, a Tropical Depression spawned off the coast of Indonesia. The young system intensified steadily over that day before being named. Shortly after recieving the name Kurt, it quickly became a Category 1 Typhoon. Kurt accelerated intensification further, quickly becoming a Super Typhoon, the 3rd of the season. It would sustain for a little while before weakening shortly before landfall in Malasia. It would weaken down to a Tropical Storm due to land interaction, However, Kurt would intensify back to a minimal Typhoon for a short time before weakening once again to to cooler Sea Surface Temperatures. It would brush Indonesia's other landform. It dissipated on August 3rd.

Typhoon Lauren (Isadora)

Typhoon (PAGASA)
Category 1 typhoon (SSHWS)
Lauren July 26 2018 LaurenFarm2018
Duration July 24 – July 29
Peak intensity 120 km/h (75 mph) (10-min)
981 mbar (hPa)
On July 24, a Tropical Depression formed a decent distance East of the Philippines. It strengthened as it went north before making an abrupt turn West. Lauren would reach Typhoon status not long later. Lauren would weaken to a Tropical Storm before making landfall in the Philippines. Lauren finally would dissipate over the islands on July 29th.

Tropical Storm Mateo

Tropical storm (FRMC)
Tropical storm (SSHWS)
Mateo July 20 2018 MateoFarm2018
Duration July 29 – August 2
Peak intensity 75 km/h 45 mph) (10-min)
1003 mbar (hPa)
A Tropical Depression spawned off the Northern coasts of China on July 29. It would go East before making an erratic turn Northward. It would strengthen enough to receive the name Mateo West of South Korea. Mateo would finally strike North Korea as a Tropical Storm. Not long after, Mateo would dissipate into a Tropical Depression. Mateo would become unrecognizable in the Sea of Japan.

Tropical Depression 14F

Tropical depression (FRMC)
Tropical depression (SSHWS)
14F 14FFarm2018
Duration August 5 – August 7
Peak intensity 55 km/h 30 mph) (10-min)
1007 mbar (hPa)
A tropical system formed a small distance East of Vietnam. It would quickly develop into a Tropical Depression shortly before making landfall in Vietnam. It would soon degenerate into a wave before dying over Laos.

Severe Tropical Storm Nina (Jasmine)

Nina (Jasmine)STS
15F 15F cone 1
Severe tropical storm (FRMC)
Tropical storm (SSHWS)
As of Tuesday, August 14, 2018
Location Pacific Ocean
Intensity 110 kph (10-min), 100 kph (1-min), 984 mbar
Movement NNW at 18 kph

Tropical Depression 16F (Kokoy)

16F (Kokoy)TD
Temporary cyclone north 
Tropical depression (FRMC)
Tropical depression (SSHWS)
As of Tuesday, August 14, 2018
Location East of Luzon
Intensity 55 kph (10-min), 55 kph (1-min), 1005 mbar
Movement NE at 4 kph

Storm Names

Main Page: 2018 Philippine basin typhoon season/naming

The PAGASA and JTWC uses these names to name any tropical depression that enters the PAR area.

Adarna Bayani Cielo Danilo Erning
Fernan Gemma Hilario Isadora Jasmine (active)
Kokoy (active) Lorenzo (unused) Myrna (unused) Ningning (unused) Olivia (unused)
Precy (unused) Quising (unused) Rolando (unused) Susan (unused) Tomas (unused)
Umberto (unused) Vilma (unused) Wendell (unused) Yanni (unused) Zoren (unused)
Auxiliary list
Agapito (unused) Benjamin (unused) Claudia (unused) Dolores (unused) Eugenio (unused)
Flor (unused) Gino (unused) Helena (unused) Ivy (unused) Josefa (unused)

Farm River Meteorological Center

The FRMC also names storms that reached tropical storm intensity.

  • Albert
  • Brianna
  • Cyrus
  • Denise
  • Ernie
  • Francine
  • Gerald
  • Hope
  • Irving
  • Janice
  • Kurt
  • Lauren
  • Mateo
  • Nina (active)
  • Odell (unused)
  • Portia (unused)
  • Ron (unused)
  • Shelby (unused)
  • Timothy (unused)
  • Victoria (unused)
  • Wilson (unused)
  • Yvette (unused)
  • Zack (unused)

Season Effects

Saffir–Simpson hurricane wind scale
TD TS C1 C2 C3 C4 C5
2018 West Pacific tropical cyclone statistics
Storm
name
Dates active Storm category

at peak intensity

Max 1-min
wind
mph (km/h)
Min.
press.
(mbar)
Areas affected Damage
(millions USD)
Deaths


Albert (Adarna) May 18 – June 1 Category 5 hurricane 205 923 Philippines, Hong Kong, China $12 billion 290+
Brianna (Bayani) May 28 – June 14 Severe tropical storm 95 996 Minandao, Visayas, Palawan $2 million 12
Cyrus (Cielo) June 10 – June 20 Category 5 hurricane 185 928 Luzon, Taiwan, Hong Kong, China $728 million 43
Denise (Danilo) June 24 – July 16 Category 5 hurricane 185 930 Palau, Philippines $265 million+ 185+
Ernie June 27 – July 3 Tropical storm 75 1007 Vietnam, China $104 million 16
Francine July 4 – July 23 Category 4 hurricane 175 937 Mariana Islands None 1
Gerald (Erning) July 7 – July 14 Tropical storm 75 1000 Philippines None None
Hope (Fernan) July 8 – July 26 Category 3 hurricane 150 967 Philippines $78 million 34
Irving (Gemma) July 15 – July 26 Category 1 hurricane 120 976 None $22 million 3
Janice (Hilario) July 16 – July 20 Severe tropical storm 95 994 Japan Minimal 6
Kurt July 20 – August 3 Category 5 hurricane 215 917 Malaysia, Singapore Unknown 760+
Lauren (Isadora) July 24 – July 29 Category 1 hurricane 120 981 None None None
Mateo July 29 – August 2 Subtropical storm 75 1003 None $15 million 2
14F August 5 – August 7 Tropical depression 55 1007 Vietnam $60 million 5
Nina August 8 – Currently Active Severe tropical storm 110 984 None None None
16F (Kokoy) August 13 – Currently Active Tropical depression 55 1005 None None None
Season Aggregates
16 cyclones May 18 –Currently Active   215 917 Unknown Unknown