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Seasonal Forecasts

Predictions for the 2018 Mediterranean Hurricane Season
Source Date Named
storms
Hurricanes Major
hurricanes
Average (1980-2016) 13.2 6.7 2.2
–––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
BNMA October 15, 2017 17 8 3
BNMA November 9, 2017 17 9 4
BNWC November 29, 2017 12 6 3
BNMA March 3, 2018 20 12 8
PWC March 13, 2018 18 13 6
HTMC March 22, 2018 19-22 14-16 6-9
MCHWS April 4, 2018 16 4 3
LHC April 28th, 2018 14-18 8-12 4-8
BNMA June 6, 2018 34 21 14
LHC June 16, 2018 30-38 17-21 13-17
KHC June 18, 2018 33 20 15
PWC July 4, 2018 31-39 25-33 19-24
LHC August 12, 2018 30-35 23-30 17-23
Actual activity
31 22 16

Overview 

wikipedia:Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale

Outlook/Advisories

NHCHUSymbol POST TROPICAL CYCLONE FLYNN

...FLYNN FINNALY MEETS HIS END...PRAISE THE LORD...

7:00 PM EDT, August 15, 2018
Public Advisory

Location: Southern Ohio

Moving: NW at 4 mph

Min pressure: 1009 mbars

Max sustained: 30 mph


NHCHUSymbol HURRICANE LINDSEY

...LINDSEY TO SLAM INTO ITALY AS A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE TOMORRROW...

7:00 PM EDT August 15th, 2018
Public Advisory

Location: NW of Sicily

Moving: N at 3 mph

Min pressure: 975 MBARS

Max sustained: 105 MPH


NHCHUSymbol HURRICANE MITCH

...MITCH BECOMES A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE...

7:00 PM EDT August 15th, 2018
Public Advisory

Location: SW of Crete

Moving: W at 3 mph

Min pressure: 962 MBARS

Max sustained: 120 MPH



BRICK NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY
MEDITERRANEAN SEA
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
July 6, 2018
1:00 AM EDT

For the Mediterranean Sea:

THE BNMA IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM DAISY AND HURRICANE FLYNN

1. A tropical wave is expected to move off of Israel by the end of the day. However, due to cold water trails left by Hurricanes Daisy, Edwin, and Flynn, conditions will not be favorable until it moves into the Agean Sea on Monday. There, conditions will be favorable for development 

2 day development chances...LOW 10%
5 day development chances...HIGH 80%

2. The remnants of Edwin have moved over the Black Seaa, and the redevelopment of the cyclone seems likely by Sunday/Monday.

2 day development chances...MEDIUM 50%
5 day development chances...HIGH 90%

~FORECASTER BRICK

Storms

Hurricane Avery 

Category 1 tropical cyclone (SSHWS)
Avery.png Avery Track Brick.png
Duration December 3 – December 7
Peak intensity 130 km/h (80 mph) (1-min)  986 hPa (mbar)

Damage: $20 million (USD)

Deaths: 6 deaths

Tropical Storm Brayden

Tropical storm (SSHWS)
Screenshot-2.png Brayden Track.png
Duration December 18 – December 28
Peak intensity 85 km/h (50 mph) (1-min)  998 hPa (mbar)


Hurricane Christina 

Category 3 tropical cyclone (SSHWS)
Sim1.png
Duration January 3 – January 11
Peak intensity 195 km/h (120 mph) (1-min)  965 hPa (mbar)


Tropical Storm Donovan 

Severe tropical storm
Sim2.png
Duration January 6 – January 9
Peak intensity 110 km/h (70 mph) (1-min)  993 hPa (mbar)


Hurricane Elise

Category 5 tropical cyclone
Hurricane Elise.png
Duration January 28 – February 6
Peak intensity 295 km/h (185 mph) (1-min)  927 hPa (mbar)

Hurricane Fredrick

Category 2 tropical cyclone (SSHWS)
Hurricane Fredrick.png
Duration February 2 – February 7
Peak intensity 155 km/h (100 mph) (1-min)  978 hPa (mbar)

Tropical Storm Gloria

Severe tropical storm
Tropical Storm Gloria.png
Duration February 8 – February 12
Peak intensity 110 km/h (70 mph) (1-min)  993 hPa (mbar)

Hurricane Hamilton

Category 6 tropical cyclone (AMS)
HamiltonBrick2018.png
Duration February 12 – February 22
Peak intensity 335 km/h (210 mph) (1-min)  867 hPa (mbar)

Tropical Storm Imelda

Tropical storm (SSHWS)
ImeldaBrick2018.png
Duration February 18 – February 21
Peak intensity 65 km/h (40 mph) (1-min)  1003 hPa (mbar)

Hurricane Jacob

Category 3 tropical cyclone (SSHWS)
Jacob mediterranean.png
Duration March 2 – March 8
Peak intensity 185 km/h (115 mph) (1-min)  965 hPa (mbar)

Hurricane Kylie

Category 6 tropical cyclone (AMS)
Kylie mediterranean.png
Duration March 5 – March 15
Peak intensity 325 km/h (200 mph) (1-min)  879 hPa (mbar)

Tropical Storm Logan

Tropical storm (SSHWS)
Tropical Storm Logan-2.png
Duration March 13 – March 17
Peak intensity 85 km/h (50 mph) (1-min)  998 hPa (mbar)

Hurricane Marie

Category 1 tropical cyclone (SSHWS)
Hurricane Marie-1.png
Duration March 18 – March 23
Peak intensity 150 km/h (90 mph) (1-min)  980 hPa (mbar)

Tropical Storm Nathaniel

Tropical storm (SSHWS)
Tropical Storm Nathaniel.png
Duration March 31 – April 4
Peak intensity 65 km/h (40 mph) (1-min)  1006 hPa (mbar)

Hurricane Ophellia

Category 4 tropical cyclone (SSHWS)
Hurricane Ophelia-1.png
Duration April 4 – April 12
Peak intensity 240 km/h (150 mph) (1-min)  929 hPa (mbar)

Names

This is the naming list for the 2018 season. This year, all the orginal 21 names were used, and an auxiliary list was developed. Names in bold have been used. Italicized names are currently active

  • Avery 
  • Brayden
  • Christina
  • Donavan
  • Elise
  • Frederick 
  • Gloria
  • Hamilton
  • Imelda
  • Jacob
  • Kylie
  • Logan
  • Marie
  • Nathaniel
  • Ophelia 
  • Paul
  • Roberta 
  • Shaun 
  • Tina
  • Vincent
  • Wendy 

Auxiliary List

TO SUBMIT NAMES TO THE AUXILIARY LIST, PLEASE COMMENT NAMES IN THE COMMENTS. 

  • Alan
  • Bailey
  • Cameron 
  • Daisy
  • Edwin 
  • Flynn
  • Gracie
  • Harry
  • Ivory
  • Jonathon
  • Katherine
  • Lindsey
  • Mitch
  • Nancy
  • Owen
  • Patsy
  • Ronald
  • Susan
  • Thomas
  • Veronica 
  • Wallace 

If the auxiliary list is exhausted, then Greek Names will be used.